Posted by BW Actual on Jul 17th 2025
BLACKWATER USA | DAILY BRIEF
Syria
- The Syrian military and Druze leaders agreed to a ceasefire on Tuesday after Israel intervened to back the Druze. However, their truce quickly broke down - despite U.S. efforts to resuscitate it - and Israel escalated its intervention with airstrikes on the Syrian Defense Ministry and other government targets in Damascus yesterday.
- The NYT summarized Israel's two primary motives for intervening in Syria nicely: "First, to prevent Iran-backed militias or hostile Islamist militants from entrenching themselves near the Israeli border. Second, to assuage the concerns of Israel’s own Druse minority, which has a close relationship with the Israeli government."
- Israel's actions forced Syria's new government into a new ceasefire that will see the military fully withdraw from Sweida. This truce seems slightly less fragile than Tuesday's, although some Druze leaders are still withholding their support for it.
- Syria's interim president, Ahmed al Sharaa, fiercely resents Israel's intrusion in Syria. He desperately wants to unify Syria under his leadership - without foreign intervention.
Gaza
- At least 21 Gazans died in a crowd crush at an aid distribution center in Khan Younis.
- The Gaza Humanitarian Foundation (GHF), which operates the four Israeli- and U.S.-backed aid distribution sites in Gaza, blamed Hamas affiliates for fomenting the chaos, and said it identified several armed men in the crowd - including one whose gun was confiscated.
- It was the first time GHF has reported armed agitators at its sites.
Iran
- War on the Rocks published an insightful summary of lessons it observed during Israel's 12-day war with Iran here: https://warontherocks.com/2025/07/lessons-observed- from-the-war-between-israel- and-iran/ 
Trade
        - Pres. Trump announced a trade deal with Indonesia that will reduce tariffs on Indonesian imports to the U.S. from the 32% level Trump threatened last week to 19%. Indonesia agreed not to tariff American imports and said it would buy U.S. agricultural products and airplanes.
- June U.S. inflation data suggested that firms have started passing tariff hikes on to consumers. Core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, rose 2.9% from June 2024 to June 2025.
 
        